Red Sox Minor League W-L Records

As of July 14th, only 2 of the organization's minor league teams had winning records (Greenville and Lowell). Pawtucket stood at 43-44, Portland at 43-46, Salem at 43-44, Greenville at 48-39, and Lowell at 13-12.

Using Bill James Pythagorean Expectation formula, we can accurately measure a team's winning percentage based on the number of runs scored and allowed. The formula is rather simple but highly accurate.

So far Pawtucket has scored 290 runs while allowing 350. That would give us an expected winning percentage of .407 which would be roughly equal to a 35-52 record. So Pawtucket is actually outperforming expectations this year by a margin of 8 wins.

Portland has accumulated 402 runs but has allowed 426 to score. That gives us a winning % of .471, which gives us a record of 42-45, which means Portland is outperforming expectations by 1 win.

Salem has scored 401 runs and given up 376, a winning percentage of roughly .532. That means Salem's record should be around 46-41. This means Salem is underperforming by 3 losses.

Greenvile has scored 405 runs while only giving up 300, which means their winning % should be in the neighborhood of .646. Greenville's record should actually be 56-31, a difference of about 8 games. Despite's Greenville's winning record they are actually underperforming.

Lowell has scored 97 runs while allowing 82 which should allow for a winning % of .540. Lowell is about roughly where they should be with 13 wins. They are the only team to meet expectations.