Wednesday, July 15, 2009

What to Look for in the 2nd Half

Stolmy Pimentel will continue to dominate
Pimentel has been awfully stingy this year with a FIP of 2.58 despite a BAABIP of a whopping .372. Pimentel has been the recipient of some poor defense (or bad luck) and is still mowing down opposing lineups. His LOB% is right around 70% which is just average. If Pimentel's BAABIP regresses back towards the mean of .300 in the second half he could be even better in the second half of the year.

Lars Anderson will prove he is worthy of the #1 prospect in the organization
Although I'm sure few fans doubt his credentials as a premier first baseman prospect, Anderson's power has been inexplicably down so far this season. Have no fear though, as Anderson's BABIP, LD%, and FB% are all in line with his career averages. In fact, so far through July Anderson has an OPS of .943

Casey Kelly will realize he belongs on the mound
Believe me when I say that I would love to see Kelly thrive at shortstop. The organization has a shortage of talented middle infielders. However, during his brief appearances at short last season between the Gulf Coast Red Sox and Lowell we realized one thing; he walks too little and strikes out too much. HIs K% was just under 30% while his BB% was around 4%. Now granted this was in only 141 PA and many young players struggle with plate discipline, but most young prospects do not pitch as well as Kelly does. He posted a 2.14 FIP in Greenville and a 3.33 FIP in Salem. Not to mention his combined 4.63 K/BB rate. His impeccable command as a pitcher is what makes him such a promising prospect.

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